mcp server

ClearMarket

Reference data for prediction markets: graded resolution clarity, cross-venue links, provenance.

Description as published by the maintainer. Source

• version 0.2.0
• active

active — Most recent push to the repository was 2026-08-06.

What this server can do

6 functions, named and described by the server itself. Parameter names are shown because they say more about what a function does than its name usually does.

get_event(slug, detail)

Fetch the full ClearMarket record for one event by slug: the canonical question, every market in this event's single-venue bundle, each market's current price + Resolution Clarity Grade (A/B/C) + resolution-source provenance, the canonical question_id where the question is linked across venues/events (null otherwise; also_on lists the same question priced on the other venue, when it trades there), and the upcoming catalyst dates that move it before it resolves. In the default detail="full", each market in the bundle is FULLY detailed (grade, rcg.caps, provenance, direction, settlement_style, also_on) — you do not need a separate get_market call for markets already in this event. Note: a shared question_id means same topic across venues; in rare cases it links structurally-different contracts (e.g. a "hike" vs a "cut-count" market), so verify the contract shape before treating two as an arbitrage pair. Use when you need the authoritative, graded view of a SPECIFIC event — including its cross-venue twins via also_on — before reasoning about or acting on a prediction market. If you only have a topic (not a slug), call list_events first. Set detail="concise" for a quick grade/price/source check (each market trimmed to the essentials — much smaller for events with many markets); use the default detail="full" when you need every market's rules, contract shape, and complete provenance. Required: slug.

get_market(market_id)

Fetch one market and judge whether its price can be trusted. Accepts whatever id you have: a ClearMarket id (CM-MKT-…), a venue-native market id or Kalshi ticker, or a market URL (best-effort — Kalshi tickers / a native id in the path resolve; for Polymarket pass the conditionId, not the slug URL). Returns: raw question, current price / implied probability, the Resolution Clarity Grade with rcg.score (0-100) and rcg.caps (a cap such as "uncommitted_placeholder" hard-limits the grade — that is why a single-source market can still be C), full resolution provenance (arbitration_model = who resolves it, named source, source_type, and a graded source_status on EVERY market: named / no-committed-source / none / unknown), the contract shape (direction, settlement_style, threshold), the canonical question_id where linked, and also_on (the same question priced on other venues). The returned market_id is ALWAYS the canonical ClearMarket id (CM-MKT-…) — store and reuse THAT, not the venue id. Use before trusting or acting on a price. Required: market_id.

get_signal(slug)

Fetch one full CM Signal wire by slug: headline, the 3-5 structured bullets, atomic claims with per-field provenance tiers, the target + linked events, primary and related markets with prices, and sources. Use when you have a wire slug (from list_signals) and need the complete bulletin with its proof chain. Required: slug.

list_events(q, grade, limit, offset, category, platform)

Browse or search ClearMarket prediction-market events. Filter by category, platform, Resolution Clarity Grade, or free-text `q`. `q` is token-AND across question + tags, so SHORT KEYWORD queries match best ("microstrategy bitcoin", "fed rate") — natural-language phrases often return nothing. Returns compact graded summaries: slug, question, venues_covered, primary grade, rcg_score (0-100, for ranking clarity), last_price, and status (open / resolved). Start here when you have a topic but not a slug; then call get_event for the full graded record. Categories: economics, financials, crypto, companies, technology, politics, geopolitics, health, climate.

list_signals(limit, venue, category, event_id, detection_path)

Browse the CM Signal daily wire — short, structured prediction-market bulletins (the price is the lede, news is context). Filter by event_id (every wire touching a specific event), category, venue, or detection type (news_cycle, cross_venue_divergence, benchmark_drift, volume_spike). Returns compact records, newest first; call get_signal for the full bulletin. Use to find ClearMarket's editorial read on what is moving.

list_upcoming_catalysts(days)

List scheduled catalysts (CPI, jobs, FOMC, GDP, large-cap earnings) in the next N days that move prediction-market prices BEFORE those markets resolve — a cross-event view across the whole calendar. Each entry is provenanced to its authoritative source (BLS, Fed, etc.). Use to find what scheduled events will reprice the prediction-market universe soon.

Last successful function declaration observed on 2026-08-13. Source: https://api.clearmarket.fyi/mcp. We list what the server declared; we do not call any of these functions.

Endpoint status observed on 2026-08-13. Source: https://api.clearmarket.fyi/mcp.

Signals

These are separate measurements of different things. They are deliberately not combined into one score, because a popularity number that mixes website traffic with saves and stars cannot be checked or acted on.

Where to get it

• Repository — https://github.com/JDSource/clearmarket
• Website — https://clearmarket.fyi
• Remote endpoint (streamable-http) — https://api.clearmarket.fyi/mcp

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These share tags the maintainers applied themselves, such as kalshi, polymarket, prediction-markets, market-data. Common tags like "mcp" or "ai" are ignored for this: agreeing with six hundred other projects is not a similarity.

This is not a recommendation and not a test result. It is a map of what the authors said their work is about.

How the author describes it

Topics the maintainer set on GitHub: enrichment, kalshi, market-data, polymarket, prediction-markets, resolution-logic.